A commonly shared premise among economic experts: a well-educated work force is key to high-wage jobs and prosperity in the 21st century.
In that regard, Michigan is far from the head of the class. It in fact ranks in the bottom half among the states in college attainment. Fewer than 30 percent of Michigan adults hold at least a bachelor’s degree.
Related: Where they stand: Michigan candidates for governor on K-12 education
Related: Where they stand: Michigan governor candidates on college affordability
Related: Ignore the sticker price at Michigan universities. Here’s the real cost.
What’s at Stake
In Minnesota, nearly 35 percent of adults hold a bachelor’s degree or higher. Its median household income was nearly $8,000 higher than the national average of $57,627 in 2016. Michigan’s stood at about $5,000 lower. If Michigan had the same college graduation rate as Minnesota, the state would have 493,000 more adults with a degree than it does now.
Student/Family Share of College Expenses
- Michigan, 69 percent; 6th highest
- Ohio, 61 percent; 14th highest
- Iowa, 60 percent; 16th highest
- Minnesota, 58 percent; 18th highest
- Indiana, 57 percent; 20th highest
- Wisconsin, 48 percent; 30th highest
- Illinois, 32 percent; 47th highest
Those with college degrees will earn on average about $1 million more over the course of a lifetime than high school graduates. Their median weekly earnings in Michigan are nearly twice that of high school graduates. They are 70 percent less likely to be unemployed than high school graduates.
The broader economic consequences of this education gap over time could be considerable. A 2016 Michigan Talent Forecast by Business Leaders for Michigan concluded that “demographic trends, an aging workforce, shrinking talent pipeline, and low education attainment will continue to threaten our ability to meet future demand.” Three-quarters of job openings paying above average wages require an associate’s degree or higher, the BLM study concluded. Past job projections by Bridge Magazine reached similar conclusions: more degree completions generally mean more opportunities for individual workers and statewide economic growth.
Big Hurdle: Rising College Costs
College is increasingly hard to afford for Michigan residents. Students are leaving campus with higher debt loads. In 2016, 64 percent of Michigan college graduates left school with debt, an average of $30,327. That was 11th highest in the nation.
Related education coverage from our 2018 Michigan Issue Guide
- Michigan's K-12 performance dropping at alarming rate
- Many Michigan K-12 reform ideas are jumbled, broad, or wildly expensive
- Michigan preschool funding has improved, but child care still unaffordable
In the early 1990s, Michigan was among the top 10 states in spending for needs-based financial aid. But it has fallen by more than half since then – and Michigan is now among the bottom half of states for needs-based grant spending. The Michigan League for Public Policy found Michigan spends $223 per undergraduate student on needs-based grants, compared to the national average of $533. That ranked lowest among Midwest states
At the same time, Michigan’s colleges and universities have raised tuition far faster than the rate of inflation. Adjusted for inflation, tuition at Michigan’s 15 public-university soared by anywhere from 91 percent to 171 percent from 2003 to 2015. Its average tuition ranked sixth highest in the nation. In 1990, Michigan students paid 39 percent of college tuition. By 2015, they were paying nearly 70 percent of tuition – again, sixth highest in the nation.
Higher Ed Cuts
In large part, schools turned to escalating tuition to compensate for declining state funds for higher education. From 2003 to 2015, state higher ed appropriations fell by $262 million a year, adjusted for inflation. That’s a 30 percent drop.
And as they were saddled with higher tuition, thousands of borrowers slipped into default. Federal data showed 12.9 percent of Michigan borrowers who entered repayment between 2013 and 2016 were in default - up from 11.8 percent the year before.
Community College a Bargain
Community college remains a good bargain. Michigan’s community colleges have the lowest tuition in the Midwest and 16th lowest in the nation. Community college students nationwide are more likely to graduate without student loans – more than 60 percent nationwide graduate without taking out loans.
In 2017, Michigan’s legislature and governor boosted funding for the state’s public universities, adding $28 million, a 2 percent increase. That’s a relatively modest hike in light of larger cuts in recent years.
Differing Reform Approaches
There’s plenty of unresolved debate about how best to produce more Michigan college grads and assure students and families can afford it. Michigan residents have declared college affordability a major public priority. Public universities plead for more state funding. Gov. Rick Snyder asked for more innovation and efficiency on campus. Business groups call for better collaboration between colleges and employers to create a more effective school-to-work pathway for students.
Michigan’s next governor and legislature elected in November 2018 will surely have to face these talent development and college un-affordability issues.
KEEP DIGGING: MORE INFORMATION ON HIGHER EDUCATION
- The Center for Michigan: “Getting to Work: The Public’s Agenda for Improving Career Navigation, College Affordability, and Upward Mobility in Michigan”
- Michigan League for Public Policy: “Back to School Report: Rising Tuition and Weak State Funding and Financial Aid Create More Student Debt”
- Pew Research Center: “The Rising Cost of not Going to College”
- Business Leaders for Michigan: “Michigan’s Talent Forecast”
Explore the Facts & Issues Guide:
At A Glance
Education & Talent
- K-12 Student Performance: Michigan's K-12 performance dropping at alarming rate
- School Reform: Many Michigan K-12 reform ideas are jumbled, broad, or wildly expensive
- Early Childhood: Michigan preschool funding has improved, but child care still unaffordable
- Higher Ed: College funding cuts in Michigan have led to fewer students, greater debt
Economy & Prosperity
- Economy: Michigan business climate improves, but educated workforce is shrinking
- Jobs & Labor: Demand for Michigan workers is very high, but many have given up looking
- Incomes: Michigan income growth hindered by lack of college graduates
- Business: Business incentives cost Michigan millions, and it’s uncertain they work
Quality of Life
- Public Health: Michigan's adverse health trends track along racal, poverty lines
- Health Care: Health care in rural Michigan communities suffering, despite Obamacare
- Safety Net: $1B of Michigan’s welfare money goes to college students who aren’t poor
- Water Issues: Michigan's Great Lakes are good, but water concerns include lead and Line 5
- Lands & Energy: Michigan battling 22 invasive forest species, high electric bills
- Michigan Tourism: Does state make $8.33 for every $1 spent on Pure Michigan campaign?
- Infrastructure: Michigan needs $4B more per year for infrastructure, but how to pay for it?
- Cities: In Michigan, more than 150 communities are financially distressed
- Rural Michigan: Limited Internet in rural Michigan depresses student, business opportunity
- Public Safety: Michigan pays 18% less per citizen than nat'l average for public safety
Government & Reform
- Michigan Taxes: Michigan gives more tax breaks than it collects for schools, government
- State Spending: Big government? Michigan's state, local workforce 2nd smallest in nation
- Ballot Issues: 2018 Michigan ballot initiatives may decide marijuana, gerrymandering
- Gov't Reform: Despite low trust of gov't, Michigan legislators have done little to change