Study: Asian carp could thrive in Lake Michigan, despite earlier doubts

Asian carp

In 2018, the U.S. Geological Survey and other groups removed over 240,000 pounds of invasive Silver Carp and Bighead Carp from Creve Coeur Lake in Maryland Heights, Missouri. The fish have spread rapidly across the Mississippi River Basin, crowding out other fish. Researchers and lawmakers want to keep them from entering Lake Michigan. (Photo courtesy of U.S. Geological Survey.)

Asian carp could survive in wider portions of Lake Michigan than scientists previously believed, according to a new University of Michigan study. The findings could ratchet up pressure on Congress to fund a barrier to prevent the invasive fish from wreaking ecological havoc across the Great Lakes and threatening its $7 billion fishing industry. 

The study, published Monday in the journal Freshwater Biology, examines Lake Michigan’s suitability for silver carp and bighead carp, some of the most destructive species to invade North American waters.  Natives of China, the fish have already spread across the Mississippi River Basin and Illinois River, and they lurk perilously close to Lake Michigan. They crowd out native fish by gobbling up their food, and they can overconsume shoreline plants and degrade water quality. 

Previous studies suggested Lake Michigan’s dwindling levels of plankton and algae — due to less phosphorus pollution and the voracious appetites of invasive zebra and quagga mussels — might prevent Asian carp from growing established.

August 2019: Battle looms over laws to slow spread of invasive species in Great Lakes

But Asian carp can survive and even grow while eating other foods such as dead organic matter called detritus, according to Monday’s study. Lake Michigan is full of detritus, which includes nutrient-rich poop from trillions of invasive mussels covering its lakebed.

Earlier studies did not consider Asian carp’s flexible diet, nor did they examine where carp could live more than a meter below the lake’s surface. The University of Michigan researchers looked deeper — creating three-dimensional models of Lake Michigan’s suitability for Asian carp.

Lake Michigan

Habitat suitability maps for bighead carp in Lake Michigan under three feeding scenarios. The University of Michigan-led modeling study shows that when bighead carp are allowed to feed throughout the water column on the broadest possible diet, the entire extent of Lake Michigan contains suitable bighead carp habitat somewhere in the water column, at certain times of year. Colored areas indicate suitable habitat. Gray areas indicate unsuitable habitat. (Image credit: Peter Alsip.)

During certain times of year, nearly all of Lake Michigan could support bighead carp somewhere in its water column, the study found. (Silver carp, however, would remain confined to river mouths and other nutrient-rich waters near shores.)

That means bighead carp, which can weigh nearly 110 pounds, could survive long swims from one prime Lake Michigan feeding spot to another, said Peter Alsip, the study’s main author and an ecological modeling data analyst with the U-M-based Cooperative Institute for Great Lakes Research.

“This research highlights and reinforces the importance of preventative actions — installing infrastructure that can keep this fish out,” Alsip said. “These fish are really hardy and resilient, and they're highly invasive throughout the world.” 

Bighead and silver carp were imported to the southern United States in the 1960s and ’70s— intended to control algae and weed growth in fish farms, canal systems and sewage lagoons. They escaped and spread across the Mississippi River Basin. With few natural predators, Asian carp dominate the waters they invade, outgrowing native predators within a year. That’s the case in the Illinois River where invasive carp comprise more than 90 percent of the weight of all fish, according to a 2017 report from the Great Lakes Sea Grant Network.  

Asian carp are seen as a major threat to walleye, yellow perch and whitefish if they invade Lake Michigan and spread.

Two years ago a commercial fisherman caught an 8-pound silver carp in a Chicago waterway just nine miles from Lake Michigan. The discovery stirred angst among water managers and Great Lakes enthusiasts, though no other carp invaders were found. In May, the DNA of bighead carp and silver carp was found just seven miles from Lake Michigan. 

The U-M findings come as the federal government is moving forward on a $778 million plan to build a barrier to keep the carp out of Lake Michigan following years of delays.The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers in May submitted a request for a project at the Brandon Road Lock and Dam near Joliet, Ill. That’s on the Des Plaines River, part of the link between the Illinois River and Lake Michigan. The project would carve a new channel and add an electric barrier, noisemaker and air bubble curtain to prevent fish from swimming upstream. 

Eight Great Lakes state governors and two Canadian premiers support the plan, which would require the local governments to chip in.

Congress must still approve it, and Republicans and Democrats in Michigan’s delegation have called for their colleagues to do so. 

U.S. Sen. Debbie Stabenow, D-Michigan, said the U-M study only adds to the urgency. 

“This study further underscores what’s at stake for our Great Lakes and way of life if Asian carp reach Lake Michigan,” she told Bridge Magazine in a statement. “I am laser-focused on completing the Brandon Road Lock and Dam project as quickly as possible to stop these fish from ever becoming established in our lakes and waterways.” 

U.S. Sen. Gary Peters, D-Michigan, doubled down on his commitment to fund the barrier as well. 

“The Great Lakes are not only an economic engine and source of drinking water to 40 million people — they are part of who we are as Michiganders,”  he said in a statement. “This study on Lake Michigan reinforces the urgent need to take every step possible to prevent the spread of Asian Carp and invasive species.”


A U.S. Geological Survey map shows where bighead carp have been observed throughout the country.

Drew YoungeDyke, a spokesman for the National Wildlife Federation Great Lakes Regional Center, called the barrier’s $778 million estimated price tag “a drop in the bucket” compared to the ecological damage invasive carp could inflict on Lake Michigan and waters they might spread to next. 

“There’s no failsafe. If they get into Lake Michigan, they’re going to survive, and we can’t allow that,” he said.  

YoungeDyke added that Congress should move as quickly as possible to fund the barrier’s pre-construction and design — and then approve the entire project. That might require Great Lakes lawmakers to support projects to reduce carp numbers throughout the Mississippi River Basin.

“In order for Congress to move this, it’s going to have to get support from all over the country, not just in the Great Lakes,” YoungeDyke said.

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Mon, 08/12/2019 - 9:18am

Not only could Asian Carp kill the fishing industry, but also affect tourism, grocery stores, lodging, gas stations, etc. etc. The ripple affect on the economy would be bad.
The one map shows Michigan is surrounded by states where Asian Carp already exist.
Enough stalling. Get the job done, and properly, and soon! Delay could be devastating.

Mon, 08/12/2019 - 10:18am

I'm confused. The attached map showes they are present in Lake Erie already. If that's true isn't it game over since they can travel to any other of the Great Lakes from there?
It's not just the Great Lakes either since they'd likely find a better home in the many river systems flowing into them!
Relying on this Rube Goldberg system to keep these carp out isn't worth it. Block the Chicago canal, besides being a carp conduit it's an unnatural diversion of Great lakes water.

Jim Malewitz
Mon, 08/12/2019 - 11:30am

Hi, Matt. That's a great question. 

On closer inspection, the USGS map makes the Lake Erie situation look a bit scarier than the reality.  Invididual bighead carp have been found three times in Lake Erie: twice off of Sandusky/Cedar Point and once off of Point Pelee in Ontario. But there hasn't been a sighting since 2000. This map gives a more specific detail on the issue, if you're interested.

Thanks for reading! 

-Jim Malewitz


Tue, 08/13/2019 - 10:26am

Thank you.
Yikes, that's quite a distance a part for there to only be three! But .. 19 years is quite a while...? Very strange.

Doug Baier
Sun, 08/18/2019 - 12:18am

If they're in Lake Erie (USGS Map) what's preventing them from getting into Lake Huron and ultimately Lake Michigan?